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The regions used in this project are based on Statistical Area Level 4 (SA4) regions as defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. There are 19 SA4s in Queensland, but the five Brisbane SA4s have been combined in this report to take into account the larger natural labour market.

Scenarios

The final scenarios cover the period 2017 to 2022 and include:

  1. Technological change: increasing labour productivity of all industries in Queensland so that the productivity of each is 0.25 per cent higher than the baseline each year between 2017-18 and 2021-22.
  2. Changing workforce: increasing interstate migration with a decreasing proportion of working aged population (15-64 years).
  3. External impact: halving the price of coal and iron ore.

The modelling results derived under each scenario were compared with a baseline scenario based on 2017 labour market, population and economic data and the Queensland Government’s 2017-18 Budget papers.

Key Findings

While growth is generally positive for Queensland regions, employment projections show that the faster growing population centres of the south east corner of the state will experience the largest expansion in employment. However, each scenario impacts individual regions differently, depending on their industry composition. This demonstrates the importance of region–specific responses and activities alongside global policies.

Change in regional employment between 2017 and 2022 by scenario

Data Tools

There are two Excel-based tools available presenting employment data at the regional level.

The Regional (All) tool consists of two worksheets and a Pivot table for experienced users. Industries of employment are broken down to the Group level (i.e. 3-digit codes) of the ANZSIC 2006 classification system, while the occupations of employed people are broken down to the Sub-Major Group (i.e. 2-digit codes) of the ANZSCO First Edition classification system.

  • The Regional Comparison sheet enables the user to compare industry and occupation data for two selected regions or a selected region and Queensland. It provides employment numbers for the selected occupation in the selected industry, the total occupation number for the selected region, total employment in the selected industry and total employment for the region. It also includes projected impacts of each scenario compared with the 2022 baseline for the selected regions.
  • The All Regions worksheet enables the user to select an industry, occupation and scenario and compare the modelling for all 15 regions and Queensland. Users should note that given the small numbers associated with some occupation and industry combinations, charts may return a nil result.

REGIONAL (ALL) DATA TOOL
(XLSX, 28.9MB)

For users who do not wish to compare all regions or who do not wish to download a large file, Jobs Queensland provides individual data tools for each region which enables the user to compare industry and occupation data for their selected region with Queensland. Each workbook also includes a Pivot table for experienced users and provides employment numbers in a similar format to that of the Regional Comparison sheet.

CAIRNS REGION (XLSX, 4.06MB) BRISBANE REGION (XLSX, 4.06MB)
TOWNSVILLE REGION (XLSX, 4.07MB) GOLD COAST REGION (XLSX, 4.07MB)
MACKAY REGION (XLSX, 4.04MB) IPSWICH REGION (XLSX, 4.07MB)
FITZROY REGION (XLSX, 4.05MB) LOGAN-BEAUDESERT REGION (XLSX, 4.04MB)
WIDE BAY REGION (XLSX, 4.06MB) TOOWOOMBA REGION (XLSX, 4.04MB)
SUNSHINE COAST REGION (XLSX, 4.07MB) DARLING DOWNS-MARANOA REGION (XLSX, 4.03MB)
MORETON BAY-NORTH REGION (XLSX, 4.05MB) QUEENSLAND-OUTBACK REGION (XLSX, 3.99MB)
MORETON BAY-SOUTH REGION (XLSX, 4.03MB)

Last updated 5 November 2018